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Forum on the Arms Trade Experts

Expert

Robert Muggah

Robert Muggah

Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW)
Latin America
Global
Humanitarian Law/Human Rights
Harm to Civilians
Arms Trafficking
Co-founder and Research Director | Igarapé Institute (Brazil) and the SecDev Group (Canada)
Contact
Email:
robert@igarape.org.br
igarape.org.br/en/robert-muggah/

Dr. Robert Muggah specializes in public and international security, smart cities, climate resilience and digital transformation. He is co-founder of the Igarapé Institute - a "think and do" tank working at the intersection of public, digital and climate security across Latin America and Africa. He is also co-founder of the SecDev Group - a digital risk analytics company. From 2000-2010, Robert was a senior research and research director of the Small Arms Survey in Geneva. For more than two decades he has advised national and municipal governments, technology companies and international organizations such as the United Nations, the World Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank and others on topics ranging from data-driven crime prevention and disarmament, demobilization and reintegration to urban planning in fragile and conflict-affected settings.

Robert is (or has been) a fellow or faculty at the University of Princeton, University of Oxford, the University of San Diego, the University of British Columbia, the Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, and the Graduate Institute in Switzerland. Since 2016 he has advised the World Economic Forum's Council on Cities and the annual flagship publication, the Global Risk Report. He has served on several high level UN panels, including on issues of Youth, Peace and Security, and contributed to several flagship publications of groups like the OECD, UNDP, WHO and the World Bank. He is currently advising a range of start-ups and venture capital firms, on issues ranging from adversarial AI, crowd-sourced intelligence, biodiversity prospecting and Web 3.0.

Robert has authored eight books and hundreds of peer-review journals. His h-index is currently 43 and i10-index 165. His latest book, with Ian Goldin, was released by Penguin/Random House in 2020 and is now available in Chinese, Dutch, German, Japanese, Korean and other languages. Robert is a regular columnist with Foreign Policy and a regular contributor to the The Atlantic, BBC, CBC, CNN, Economist, FastCompany, Financial Times, Folha de Sao Paulo, Globo, Guardian, New York Times, Newsweek and Wired. He has delivered three TED talks, in 2014, 2017 and 2021. He is now working on a new crime thriller series set in the Amazon Basin. Robert received his DPhil from the University of Oxford and his MPhil from the University of Sussex.

Featured Publications

Criminal gangs have diversified across Latin America, making them more resilient – but not untouchable

The Conversation | August 10, 2026.
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Conflict and Violence Prevention Works. How Do We Sell It Politically

Center on International Cooperation | March 16, 2026.
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The global price tag of war in the Middle East

World Economic Forum | March 12, 2026.
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Publications

  • Criminal gangs have diversified across Latin America, making them more resilient – but not untouchable
    The Conversation | August 10, 2026.
  • Conflict and Violence Prevention Works. How Do We Sell It Politically
    Center on International Cooperation | March 16, 2026.
  • The global price tag of war in the Middle East
    World Economic Forum | March 12, 2026.
  • Haiti’s Political Crisis Deepens Amid a Slide Into Criminal Governance
    Proceedings of the ASIL Annual Meeting | February 4, 2026.
  • Closing Plenary: Can Arms Trade Bring About Peace?
    Proceedings of the ASIL Annual Meeting | February 4, 2026.
  • 5 scenarios for a post-Maduro Venezuela — and what they could signal to the wider region
    The Conversation | January 3, 2026.
  • The Great Rewiring: How Ukraine's war is unraveling the old world order and hastily stitching together a new one
    SecDev | October 29, 2025.
  • The Geopolitics of Trump’s War on Drugs
    Americas Quarterly | September 18, 2025.
  • Weapons, wealth, and health: the arms industry as a commercial determinant of health
    BMJ (formerly British Medical Journal) | September 1, 2025.
  • Weapons of influence: tactics of a growing arms industry and needed health actions
    BMJ | September 1, 2025.
  • Dados de criminalidade em Washington contrariam Trump e evidenciam que intervenção na capital tem fins políticos
    The Conversation | August 13, 2025.
  • The White House's manufactured "crime crisis" comes to Washington DC
    The Conversation | August 13, 2025.
  • REACTION: Trump Orders Armed Forces to Fight Latin American Cartels
    Americas Quarterly | August 11, 2025.
  • Big Tech Is Part of Trump’s Attack on the Global Order
    Foreign Policy | June 3, 2025.
  • Flows of Guns and Money Are Dooming Haiti
    Americas Quarterly | May 12, 2025.
  • Latin America’s Deadliest Threat Is Made in the U.S
    America's Quarterly | April 21, 2025.
  • Ecuador’s tough on crime approach is popular, but major challenges remain
    The Conversation | February 7, 2025.
  • Ecuador’s tough on crime approach is popular, but major challenges remain
    The Conversation | February 7, 2025.
  • Ecuador’s tough on crime approach is popular, but major challenges remain
    The Conversation | February 7, 2025.
  • The Mineral Wars - How Ukraine’s Critical Minerals Will Fuel Future Geopolitical Rivalries
    CIRSD | February 6, 2025.
  • Another Crisis in Brazil’s Amazon: Rising Crime
    Americas Quarterly | September 18, 2024.
  • AI and the Global South
    Igarapé Institute | May 10, 2024.
  • Perspective: The Caribbean's metastasizing gang threat needs coordinated regional responses
    Small Wars Journal | April 15, 2024.
  • Perspective: Latin America’s crime surge is fueled by surging cocaine production
    Small Wars Journal | May 22, 2023.
  • Haiti Is on the Brink of State Failure
    Foreign Policy | February 17, 2023.
  • Unregulated U.S. Firearms Are a Global Problem
    World Politics Review | June 6, 2022.
  • In the Americas, Homicide Is the Other Killer Epidemic
    Foreign Policy | May 20, 2022.
  • Russian demoralization on the front lines: Chronicles of the war in Ukraine
    LinkedIn | March 15, 2022.
  • Five possible scenarios in the Ukraine-Russia war
    iPolitics | March 7, 2022.
  • Yemen’s Parallel War in Cyberspace
    Foreign Policy | January 6, 2022.
  • The state of police violence in the Americas
    Small Wars Journal | September 13, 2021.
  • Arming the Americas
    The Oxford Handbook of the Sociology of Latin America | 2020
  • To Downsize Bloated, Too-Powerful Police, Look at These Examples
    Foreign Policy | July 17, 2020.
  • Calls for Police Reform Are Getting Louder—Here Is How to Do It
    Foreign Policy | June 22, 2020.
  • Bolsonaro's end game
    openDemocracy | June 2, 2020.
  • We urgently need major cooperation on global security in the COVID-19 era
    World Economic Forum | April 23, 2020.
  • We Can Make the Post-Coronavirus World a Much Less Violent Place
    Foreign Policy | April 14, 2020.
  • Terra Incognito: 100 Maps to Survive the Next 100 Years
    Penguin/Random House | 2020
  • We can halve most forms of violence by 2030. Here's how
    World Economic Forum | October 28, 2019.
  • Opinion: Relaxing Brazil's Gun Laws Could Make A Murderous Country Even Deadlier
    National Public Radio | 2019
  • A derrocada violenta da Nicarágua
    O Globo | July 25, 2018.
  • How Toronto can curb gun violence
    The Globe and Mail | July 25, 2018.
  • How smart tech help cities fight terrorism and crime
    World Economic Forum | June 15, 2018.
  • Medindo os custos econômicos da criminalidade no Brasil
    O Globo | June 13, 2018.
  • Brazil Spends Billions on Public Security: Why is Violence Getting Worse?
    Americas Quarterly | June 12, 2018.
  • Want to stop gun violence now? Regulate bullets
    Los Angeles Times | March 26, 2018.